Year of the Health and Care Workers Seminar Two – ‘State of Shock: the role of workforce planning in responding to shocks in demand for health and care’


The second of four seminars dived deeper into the key issues raised in Seminar One, specifically on the development of health systems and the challenge of responding to both short-term ‘shocks’ and longer-term trends.

System shocks can cause radical and sudden mismatches between the demand for health and care and the workforce required to deliver it. Covid-19 and its impact on rapidly increasing demand in the last couple of years and its likely knock-on effects was a key feature of this seminar.


Chair – Prof Ged Byrne, Director of Global Engagement for Health Education England

Ged Byrne is a surgeon by background and now directs the Global Health Partnerships directorate at HEE alongside his clinical and teaching commitments. In this role, Ged is accountable to the NHS for international ethical recruitment, the development of international placements and partnerships, and workforce government to government partnerships.

Dr Yaseen Arabi –  Chairman of the Intensive Care Department, Medical Director, Respiratory Services and Professor, King Saud bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, King Abdullah International Medical Research Center, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Dr Arabi obtained his Internal Medicine Training then he was the Chief Medical Resident at Wayne State University, Detroit, MI, USA (1992-1995). He obtained pulmonary and critical care training at the University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI, USA (1995-1998). He is currently the Chairman of the Intensive Care Department, the Medical Director, Respiratory Services and Professor, King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, King Abdullah International Medical Research Center.

He is currently the principal investigator/co-investigator on several multicenter randomized controlled trials. He has been involved in MERS and COVID-19 research. He has over 450 publications including articles in leading medical journals. He is currently a Section Editor for Intensive Care Medicine on the Editorial Boards of several journals.

He received multiple grants and awards including the Barry A. Shapiro Memorial Award for Excellence in Critical Care Management, Society of Critical Care Medicine, USA (2011).

Prof Jim Buchan – Senior Visiting Fellow, Health Foundation, Adjunct Prof at the WHO Collaborating Centre at UTS in Australia

Prof Buchan has 30 years experience in health workforce policy and planning, working in all WHO Regions. He is Senior Fellow at the Health Foundation, UK, and Adjunct Prof at the WHO Collaborating Centre at UTS in Australia. He is also Editor in Chief of “Human Resources for Health”.

Tori Bungane – Supporting Health Systems Strengthening and Health Policy, British High Commission, South Africa 

Tori Bungane oversees the UK-South Africa Health Partnership including the delivery of the Better Health Programme, a Health Systems Strengthening programme providing Technical Assistance to South Africa’s Department of Health focused on combatting Non-Communicable Diseases, improving quality of healthcare and achieving Universal Health Coverage. Previously, Tori worked for the Newton Fund, promoting research links between the UK and South Africa and with the Nelson Mandela Foundation, partnering with Columbia University to support the impact of the interventions anti-black racism activists. Tori holds graduate qualifications in Development Finance and Health Economics, is passionate about social change and social justice, development in the African continent, and using innovation to expedite economic transformation.

Nichole McIntosh – London Regional Head of Nursing and Midwifery, Health Education England

Nichole McIntosh is currently the Regional Head of Nursing and Midwifery at Health Education England in London. In this role, she works closely with partners including healthcare providers and higher education institutions across London to educate, develop and sustain a world class nursing and midwifery workforce that is fit for the 21st century and beyond.

Nichole was recently awarded a honorary visiting professorship at City, University of London. Nichole is also a poet, digital broadcaster, motivational speaker, entrepreneur and Editorial Advisor of the Royal College of Nursing Institute’s Nursing Management Journal. She regularly contributes to research, academic publications and speaks at events.

Nichole is passionate about lifting as she rises and, to this end, mentors students and nurses from diverse backgrounds to assist them to progress in their careers. She uses poetry as a practitioner of healing arts in the promotion of health and wellbeing.

Prof Gareth Rees – Profesor Ordinario, ESAN University, Peru

Gareth H Rees is presently a Profesor Ordinario – Auxiliar at ESAN University in Lima Peru. His PhD researched the use of foresight to assist with health workforce planning and policy development. He is a Senior Expert with the EU SEPEN project and consults with the WHO/PAHO on health workforce projects.


Please see below the recordings of Seminar Two, in both English and Russian.

English recording

Russian recording

Seminar Two Promotional Flyer